# Central Bank Policy Divergence Brief The major developed central banks show a **hawkish-dovish split**: the Fed (4.00%), ECB (2.25%), and Bank of Korea (3.00%) are actively tightening to combat persistent inflation above target, while the Bank of Canada (2.25%) and Bank of England (3.75%) have paused despite similar inflation pressures, signaling confidence in their disinflationary progress. Meanwhile, the Banco Central do Brasil (13.75%) stands apart with an exceptionally restrictive stance, cutting only modestly despite inflation moderating, reflecting acute currency and expectations-anchoring risks unique to emerging markets. This divergence reflects differing inflation trajectories and domestic vulnerabilitiesโdeveloped economies face geopolitical energy shocks, while Brazil confronts currency depreciation and unanchored expectations.
| Central Bank | Rate | FX | CPI | GDP | M2 | Trade | Intent | Rate / FX | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
๐บ๐ธ
EUR/USD
|
3.62%
|
1.1525
EUR/USD
|
3.4%
|
2.2%
|
5.4%
|
-120B
|
H
โ1 โ0 โ0
|
Rate
FX
|
Statements | ||||||||||
|
TRENDS
Rate
FX
CPI
GDP
M2
TB
IP
Unemp
Conf
Stance
MEETING HISTORY
|
|||||||||||||||||||
|
๐จ๐ณ
USD/CNY
|
3.00%
|
6.8976
USD/CNY
|
-0.1%
|
5.0%
|
6.8%
|
+110B
|
D
โ0 โ3 โ0
๐ฆ0/1 ๐ง0/1
|
Rate
FX
|
Statements | ||||||||||
|
TRENDS
Rate
FX
CPI
GDP
M2
TB
IP
Unemp
Conf
Stance
MEETING HISTORY
|
|||||||||||||||||||
|
๐ช๐บ
EUR/USD
|
2.25%
|
1.1525
EUR/USD
|
3.2%
|
1.5%
|
2.9%
|
-19B
|
H
โ3 โ0 โ0
|
Rate
FX
|
Statements | ||||||||||
|
TRENDS
Rate
FX
CPI
GDP
M2
TB
IP
Unemp
Conf
Stance
MEETING HISTORY
|
|||||||||||||||||||
|
๐ฏ๐ต
USD/JPY
|
1.00%
|
159.60
USD/JPY
|
3.2%
|
1.2%
|
1.4%
|
-5B
|
H
โ1 โ0 โ0
๐ฎ1/0 ๐ฃ2/0
|
Rate
FX
|
Statements | ||||||||||
|
TRENDS
Rate
FX
CPI
GDP
M2
TB
IP
Unemp
Conf
Stance
MEETING HISTORY
|
|||||||||||||||||||
|
๐ฎ๐ณ
USD/INR
|
5.25%
|
93.10
USD/INR
|
3.0%
|
7.6%
|
11.3%
|
-31B
|
โ
|
Rate
FX
|
Statements | ||||||||||
|
TRENDS
Rate
FX
CPI
GDP
M2
TB
IP
Unemp
Conf
Stance
MEETING HISTORY
|
|||||||||||||||||||
|
๐ฌ๐ง
GBP/USD
|
3.75%
|
1.3209
GBP/USD
|
3.4%
|
1.4%
|
5.5%
|
-30B
|
โ
|
Rate
FX
|
Statements | ||||||||||
|
TRENDS
Rate
FX
CPI
GDP
M2
TB
IP
Unemp
Conf
Stance
MEETING HISTORY
|
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|
๐ง๐ท
USD/BRL
|
14.00%
โ0.25
|
5.1818
USD/BRL
|
5.5%
|
2.3%
|
9.8%
|
+6B
|
D
โ0 โ1 โ0
๐ฎ1/1
|
Rate
FX
|
Statements | ||||||||||
|
TRENDS
Rate
FX
CPI
GDP
M2
TB
IP
Unemp
Conf
Stance
MEETING HISTORY
|
|||||||||||||||||||
|
๐จ๐ฆ
USD/CAD
|
2.25%
|
1.3909
USD/CAD
|
2.3%
|
1.7%
|
6.0%
|
+4B
|
N
โ0 โ0 โ1
|
Rate
FX
|
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|
TRENDS
Rate
FX
CPI
GDP
M2
TB
IP
Unemp
Conf
Stance
MEETING HISTORY
|
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|
๐ท๐บ
USD/RUB
|
14.00%
|
84.08
USD/RUB
|
8.7%
|
1.0%
|
12.8%
|
+12B
|
H
โ0 โ1 โ0
๐ฎ2/0
|
Rate
FX
|
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|
TRENDS
Rate
FX
CPI
GDP
M2
TB
IP
Unemp
Conf
Stance
MEETING HISTORY
|
|||||||||||||||||||
|
๐ฆ๐บ
AUD/USD
|
4.35%
|
0.6872
AUD/USD
|
2.4%
|
1.4%
|
6.7%
|
+3B
|
H
โ1 โ0 โ0
|
Rate
FX
|
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TRENDS
Rate
FX
CPI
GDP
M2
TB
IP
Unemp
Conf
Stance
MEETING HISTORY
|
|||||||||||||||||||
|
๐ฐ๐ท
USD/KRW
|
2.75%
โ0.25
|
1516.65
USD/KRW
|
2.1%
|
1.0%
|
6.9%
|
+6B
|
H
โ1 โ0 โ0
|
Rate
FX
|
Statements | ||||||||||
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TRENDS
Rate
FX
CPI
GDP
M2
TB
IP
Unemp
Conf
Stance
MEETING HISTORY
|
|||||||||||||||||||
|
๐น๐ท
USD/TRY
|
37.00%
|
48.77
USD/TRY
|
30.9%
|
3.6%
|
37.9%
|
-9B
|
H
โ0 โ1 โ0
๐ฎ4/0
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Rate
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TRENDS
Rate
FX
CPI
GDP
M2
TB
IP
Unemp
Conf
Stance
MEETING HISTORY
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|
๐จ๐ญ
USD/CHF
|
0.00%
|
0.7994
USD/CHF
|
0.2%
|
1.3%
|
4.2%
|
+5B
|
โ
|
Rate
FX
|
Statements | ||||||||||
|
TRENDS
Rate
FX
CPI
GDP
M2
TB
IP
Unemp
Conf
Stance
MEETING HISTORY
|
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|
๐ณ๐ฌ
USD/NGN
|
27.00%
|
1331.83
USD/NGN
|
23.0%
|
4.0%
|
50.9%
|
+14B
|
N
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FX
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Rate
FX
CPI
GDP
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TB
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Unemp
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Stance
MEETING HISTORY
|
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|
๐ฎ๐ฑ
USD/ILS
|
3.50%
โ0.25
|
3.1533
USD/ILS
|
3.3%
|
2.9%
|
1.4%
|
-4B
|
N
โ0 โ0 โ1
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FX
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CPI
GDP
M2
TB
IP
Unemp
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MEETING HISTORY
|
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|
๐ธ๐ฌ
USD/SGD
|
0.83%
โ0.36
|
1.2871
USD/SGD
|
1.2%
|
5.0%
|
2.7%
|
+214B
|
N
๐ฎ1/1
|
Rate
FX
|
Statements | ||||||||||
|
TRENDS
Rate
FX
CPI
GDP
M2
TB
IP
Unemp
Conf
Stance
MEETING HISTORY
|
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|
๐ฟ๐ฆ
USD/ZAR
|
7.00%
|
17.01
USD/ZAR
|
3.1%
|
1.1%
|
8.9%
|
+0B
|
D
โ0 โ1 โ0
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FX
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FX
CPI
GDP
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Unemp
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Stance
MEETING HISTORY
|
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|
๐ฒ๐ฝ
USD/MXN
|
6.50%
|
17.94
USD/MXN
|
5.6%
|
0.6%
|
8.8%
|
-0B
|
D
โ0 โ2 โ0
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|
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FX
CPI
GDP
M2
TB
IP
Unemp
Conf
Stance
MEETING HISTORY
|
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|
๐ต๐ฑ
USD/PLN
|
3.75%
|
3.7184
USD/PLN
|
2.5%
|
3.6%
|
9.2%
|
-0B
|
D
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|
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FX
|
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|
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Rate
FX
CPI
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M2
TB
IP
Unemp
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MEETING HISTORY
|
|||||||||||||||||||
|
๐ณ๐ด
USD/NOK
|
4.25%
|
9.7427
USD/NOK
|
2.5%
|
1.1%
|
0.0%
|
+8B
|
H
โ0 โ0 โ1
๐ฎ3/0
|
Rate
FX
|
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TRENDS
Rate
FX
CPI
GDP
M2
TB
IP
Unemp
Conf
Stance
MEETING HISTORY
|
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|
๐ธ๐ช
USD/SEK
|
1.75%
|
9.4993
USD/SEK
|
0.5%
|
1.5%
|
5.4%
|
-0B
|
H
โ0 โ0 โ1
๐ฎ1/0
|
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FX
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Rate
FX
CPI
GDP
M2
TB
IP
Unemp
Conf
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MEETING HISTORY
|
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|
๐ณ๐ฟ
USD/NZD
|
2.50%
|
1.7519
USD/NZD
|
2.9%
|
0.5%
|
2.8%
|
-3B
|
D
โ0 โ1 โ0
|
Rate
FX
|
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Rate
FX
CPI
GDP
M2
TB
IP
Unemp
Conf
Stance
MEETING HISTORY
|
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|
๐ญ๐บ
USD/HUF
|
5.50%
โ0.25
|
333.13
USD/HUF
|
3.3%
|
0.5%
|
9.5%
|
+11B
|
D
โ0 โ1 โ0
|
Rate
FX
|
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|
TRENDS
Rate
FX
CPI
GDP
M2
TB
IP
Unemp
Conf
Stance
MEETING HISTORY
|
|||||||||||||||||||
|
๐ท๐ธ
USD/RSD
|
5.75%
|
102.32
USD/RSD
|
3.1%
|
2.0%
|
13.5%
|
-4B
|
N
โ0 โ0 โ1
|
Rate
FX
|
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Rate
FX
CPI
GDP
M2
TB
IP
Unemp
Conf
Stance
MEETING HISTORY
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