๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ท

Banco Central do Brasil

BRL ยท Official Website

Latest Statement

๐Ÿ•Š๏ธ Dovish
BCB COPOM Minutes - Meeting 276: 276th Meeting - January 27-28, 2026
2026-01-28

The Central Bank of Brazil's recent publication highlights ongoing economic uncertainty, particularly due to external factors such as U.S. economic policy and geopolitical tensions. While domestic economic activity is moderating as expected, inflation remains above target, necessitating careful monitoring and a cautious approach to monetary policy.

โšก Rate
โ†‘0 โ†“0 โ†’1
๐Ÿ”ฎ Guidance
โ†‘0 โ†“1
๐Ÿ“ Classified Sentences
๐Ÿ”ฎ Guidance Dovishmp_interest_rate
"The Committee foresees, if the expected scenario is confirmed, to begin the easing of monetary policy in its next meeting, but reinforces that it will maintain the appropriate restriction to ensure the convergence of inflation to the target."
โšก Rate Holdmp_interest_rate
"The Copom decided to maintain the basic interest rate at 15.00% per annum, and understands that this decision is compatible with the strategy of converging inflation towards the target over the relevant horizon."

Bank Profile

Mandate
Price stability (inflation targeting), financial stability
Decision Types
Selic rate (overnight rate), Reserve requirements, Forward guidance
Policy Instruments
Open market operations, Reserve requirements, FX swaps, Rediscount window
Target Indicators
IPCA inflation (3%ยฑ1.5%), GDP growth, Exchange rate, Inflation expectations
Communication Style
Detailed COPOM statements, balance of risks assessment, forward guidance on rate path
Committee
COPOM (Comitรช de Polรญtica Monetรกria) - 9 members (Governor + 8 Directors)

Economic Indicators

Policy Rate15.00%
USD/BRL5.1287
GDP Growth-3.3%
M2 Growth12.3%
10Y Yield13.41%
2y10y Spread-0.59%
HISTORICAL TRENDS
Policy Rate
15.010.5
FX Rate
5.265.13
CPI
9.283.21
GDP
4.76-3.28
10Y Yield
14.213.2
2Y-10Y Spread
0.55-0.05
Stance
1000.00

Key Commodities

Top traded commodities for Brazil

Commodity Price 1D 30D
Soybeans 383.24 USD/mt -2.1% -31.0%
Iron Ore 107.45 USD/mt -0.1% -5.7%

Recent Statements

BCB COPOM Minutes - Meeting 275: 275th Meeting - December 9-10, 2025 โš–๏ธ Neutral
2025-12-10
โšก Rate
โ†‘0 โ†“0 โ†’1
๐Ÿ“ Classified Sentences
โšก Rate Holdmp_interest_rate
"The Copom decided to maintain the basic interest rate at 15.00% per year, and understands that this decision is compatible with the strategy of converging inflation towards the target over the relevant horizon."
BCB COPOM Minutes - Meeting 274: 274th Meeting - November 4-5, 2025 โš–๏ธ Neutral
2025-11-05
โšก Rate
โ†‘0 โ†“0 โ†’1
๐Ÿ“ Classified Sentences
โšก Rate Holdmp_interest_rate
"The Copom decided to maintain the basic interest rate at 15.00% per year, and understands that this decision is compatible with the strategy of converging inflation towards the target over the relevant horizon."
BCB COPOM Minutes - Meeting 273: 273rd Meeting - September 16-17, 2025 โš–๏ธ Neutral
2025-09-17
โšก Rate
โ†‘0 โ†“0 โ†’1
๐Ÿ“ Classified Sentences
โšก Rate Holdmp_interest_rate
"The Copom decided to maintain the basic interest rate at 15.00% per annum."
BCB COPOM Minutes - Meeting 272: 272nd Meeting - July 29-30, 2025 ๐Ÿฆ… Hawkish
2025-07-30
โšก Rate
โ†‘0 โ†“0 โ†’1
๐Ÿ”ฎ Guidance
โ†‘2 โ†“0
๐Ÿ“ Classified Sentences
๐Ÿ”ฎ Guidance Hawkishmp_interest_rate
"The Committee assesses that, after a rapid and firm cycle of interest rate increases, it is anticipated, as a strategy for conducting monetary policy, to continue the interruption of the rate hike cycle to observe the effects of the undertaken cycle."
๐Ÿ”ฎ Guidance Hawkishmp_interest_rate
"The Committee emphasizes that it will remain vigilant, that future steps in monetary policy may be adjusted, and that it will not hesitate to continue the adjustment cycle if deemed appropriate."
โšก Rate Holdmp_interest_rate
"The Copom decided to maintain the basic interest rate at 15.00% per annum."
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