ivan.digital / tech.blog / tech.pulsar /
February 26, 2026 at 06:40 UTC

📈 FX Projections

Experimental — Currency direction forecasts based on interest rate differentials and central bank communication sentiment.

TOP PICK
↘ EUR/USD
Expected move: -0.23% over 2 weeks
Rate diff: 0.0%, Dovish CB stance, Meeting in 27d
Projections based on rate differentials, CB communication sentiment (NPS), and realized volatility.
Currency Spot 1 Week 2 Weeks 4 Weeks Vol 20d Drivers
EUR/USD
1.1784
Feb 25
 1.1770 → 1.1757 → 1.1729 ↘ 5.1% NPS: -1.00
EUR/USD
1.1784
Feb 25
 1.1795 → 1.1806 → 1.1829 ↗ 5.1% Rate: -1.75%, NPS: +1.00
GBP/USD
1.3523
Feb 25
 1.3507 → 1.3490 → 1.3458 ↘ 6.8% NPS: -1.00
USD/JPY
156.74
Feb 25
 156.86 → 156.98 → 157.21 ↗ 7.6% Rate: -3.00%, NPS: +1.00
USD/CAD
1.3691
Feb 25
 1.3672 → 1.3654 → 1.3616 ↘ 4.5% Rate: -1.50%, NPS: -1.00
USD/CNY
6.8695
Feb 25
 6.8614 → 6.8534 → 6.8373 ↘ 1.8% Rate: -0.75%, NPS: -1.00
USD/BRL
5.1287
Feb 25
 5.1298 → 5.1310 → 5.1333 → 8.1% Rate: +11.25%, NPS: -1.00
USD/CHF
0.7748
Feb 25
 0.7736 → 0.7723 ↘ 0.7699 ↘ 6.4% Rate: -3.75%, NPS: -1.00
USD/ZAR
15.86
Feb 25
 15.85 → 15.84 → 15.81 ↘ 13.2% Rate: +3.00%, NPS: -1.00
USD/INR
90.95
Feb 25
 90.86 → 90.77 → 90.59 ↘ 6.5% Rate: +1.50%, NPS: -1.00
AUD/USD
0.7092
Feb 25
 0.7100 → 0.7108 → 0.7124 ↗ 9.9% Rate: -0.15%, NPS: +1.00
USD/KRW
1427.90
Feb 25
 1426.00 → 1424.10 → 1420.31 ↘ 8.2% Rate: -1.25%, NPS: -1.00
USD/MXN
17.15
Feb 25
 17.13 → 17.12 → 17.09 ↘ 8.6% Rate: +3.25%, NPS: -1.00
USD/PLN
3.5839
Feb 25
 3.5798 → 3.5758 → 3.5676 ↘ 6.2% Rate: +0.25%, NPS: -1.00
USD/NZD
1.6740
Feb 25
 1.6718 → 1.6696 → 1.6652 ↘ 7.3% Rate: -1.50%, NPS: -1.00
USD/HUF
318.97
Feb 25
 318.70 → 318.44 → 317.91 ↘ 8.0% Rate: +2.75%, NPS: -1.00
USD/SEK
9.0602
Feb 25
 9.0690 → 9.0778 → 9.0955 ↗ 9.4% Rate: -2.00%, NPS: +1.00
USD/SGD
1.2649
Feb 25
 1.2645 → 1.2640 → 1.2632 → 3.2% Rate: -2.86%
USD/NOK
9.5855
Feb 25
 9.5842 → 9.5829 → 9.5803 → 10.4% Rate: +0.25%, NPS: -0.14
USD/ILS
3.0957
Feb 25
 3.0921 → 3.0885 → 3.0813 ↘ 9.1% Rate: +0.25%, NPS: -1.00
USD/RUB
76.71
Feb 26
 76.72 → 76.74 → 76.78 → 6.0% Rate: +12.25%, NPS: -1.00
USD/TRY
43.88
Feb 26
 44.04 ↗ 44.19 ↗ 44.50 ↗ 1.3% Rate: +33.25%, NPS: +0.09
USD/NGN
1348.79
Feb 26
 1352.19 → 1355.61 ↗ 1362.46 ↗ 8.8% Rate: +23.25%, NPS: +0.50
USD/RSD
99.35
Feb 26
 99.38 → 99.40 → 99.45 → 5.2% Rate: +2.00%
Direction: ↗ = currency appreciation vs USD, ↘ = depreciation, → = stable.
Vol 20d: Annualized volatility — low <5% | med 5-10% | high >10%.
Rate diff: CB rate minus Fed rate. Positive = carry inflows. Negative = outflows.
NPS: Net Policy Sentiment. Hawk = tightening. Dove = easing.