ivan.digital / tech.blog / tech.pulsar /
July 17, 2026 at 06:27 UTC

📈 FX Projections

Experimental — Currency direction forecasts based on interest rate differentials and central bank communication sentiment.

TOP PICK
↘ EUR/USD
Expected move: -0.23% over 2 weeks
Rate diff: 0.0%, Dovish CB stance, Meeting in 12d (event risk)
Projections based on rate differentials, CB communication sentiment (NPS), and realized volatility.
Currency Spot 1 Week 2 Weeks 4 Weeks Vol 20d Drivers
EUR/USD
0.8743
Jul 10
 0.8733 → 0.8722 → 0.8702 ↘ 5.9% NPS: -1.00
USD/JPY
161.31
Jul 10
 161.44 → 161.57 → 161.83 ↗ 6.2% Rate: -2.75%, NPS: +1.00
EUR/USD
0.8743
Jul 10
 0.8751 → 0.8760 → 0.8777 ↗ 5.9% Rate: -1.50%, NPS: +1.00
GBP/USD
0.7451
Jul 10
 0.7442 → 0.7434 → 0.7416 ↘ 6.5% NPS: -1.00
USD/CAD
1.4132
Jul 10
 1.4113 → 1.4095 → 1.4057 ↘ 4.3% Rate: -1.50%, NPS: -1.00
USD/CHF
0.8063
Jul 10
 0.8051 → 0.8038 ↘ 0.8013 ↘ 7.5% Rate: -3.75%, NPS: -1.00
AUD/USD
1.4370
Jul 10
 1.4388 → 1.4407 → 1.4444 ↗ 7.1% Rate: +0.60%, NPS: +1.00
USD/KRW
1501.06
Jul 10
 1499.14 → 1497.21 → 1493.38 ↘ 10.2% Rate: -1.25%, NPS: -1.00
USD/BRL
5.1046
Jul 10
 5.1054 → 5.1063 → 5.1079 → 12.4% Rate: +10.50%, NPS: -1.00
USD/INR
95.33
Jul 10
 95.24 → 95.15 → 94.97 ↘ 5.4% Rate: +1.50%, NPS: -1.00
USD/CNY
6.7766
Jul 10
 6.7689 → 6.7613 → 6.7460 ↘ 2.3% Rate: -0.75%, NPS: -1.00
USD/ZAR
16.27
Jul 10
 16.26 → 16.25 → 16.23 → 11.4% Rate: +3.25%, NPS: -1.00
USD/MXN
17.47
Jul 10
 17.46 → 17.44 → 17.41 ↘ 8.8% Rate: +2.75%, NPS: -1.00
USD/RUB
78.09
Jul 17
 78.10 → 78.10 → 78.11 → 18.1% Rate: +10.50%, NPS: -1.00
USD/TRY
47.14
Jul 17
 47.31 ↗ 47.47 ↗ 47.81 ↗ 1.0% Rate: +33.25%, NPS: +0.09
USD/NGN
1379.68
Jul 17
 1383.76 → 1387.86 ↗ 1396.08 ↗ 3.5% Rate: +23.25%, NPS: +0.50
USD/PLN
3.7878
Jul 17
 3.7836 → 3.7793 → 3.7707 ↘ 5.7% NPS: -1.00
USD/NZD
1.7131
Jul 17
 1.7108 → 1.7086 → 1.7041 ↘ 6.8% Rate: -1.50%, NPS: -1.00
USD/HUF
316.99
Jul 17
 316.73 → 316.47 → 315.95 ↘ 11.5% Rate: +2.50%, NPS: -1.00
USD/RSD
102.61
Jul 17
 102.63 → 102.66 → 102.72 → 4.3% Rate: +2.00%
USD/ILS
3.0292
Jul 17
 3.0257 → 3.0222 → 3.0151 ↘ 10.6% NPS: -1.00
Direction: ↗ = currency appreciation vs USD, ↘ = depreciation, → = stable.
Vol 20d: Annualized volatility — low <5% | med 5-10% | high >10%.
Rate diff: CB rate minus Fed rate. Positive = carry inflows. Negative = outflows.
NPS: Net Policy Sentiment. Hawk = tightening. Dove = easing.