ivan.digital / tech.blog / tech.pulsar /
October 12, 2026 at 06:20 UTC

📈 FX Projections

Experimental — Currency direction forecasts based on interest rate differentials and central bank communication sentiment.

TOP PICK
↗ EUR/USD
Expected move: +0.23% over 2 weeks
Rate diff: 0.0%, Hawkish CB stance, Meeting in 16d
Projections based on rate differentials, CB communication sentiment (NPS), and realized volatility.
Currency Spot 1 Week 2 Weeks 4 Weeks Vol 20d Drivers
USD/MXN
18.19
Oct 02
 18.18 → 18.16 → 18.13 ↘ 10.3% Rate: +2.50%, NPS: -1.00
USD/BRL
5.2222
Oct 02
 5.2239 → 5.2256 → 5.2291 → 8.8% Rate: +9.75%, NPS: -0.77
USD/CAD
1.4253
Oct 02
 1.4234 → 1.4214 → 1.4176 ↘ 2.9% Rate: -1.75%, NPS: -1.00
GBP/USD
0.7556
Oct 02
 0.7547 → 0.7538 → 0.7520 ↘ 4.7% Rate: -0.25%, NPS: -1.00
USD/ILS
3.0661
Oct 12
 3.0622 → 3.0583 → 3.0506 ↘ 7.1% Rate: -0.75%, NPS: -1.00
USD/JPY
157.81
Oct 02
 157.94 → 158.06 → 158.32 ↗ 7.9% Rate: -2.75%, NPS: +1.00
USD/KRW
1345.75
Oct 02
 1344.02 → 1342.29 → 1338.84 ↘ 11.2% Rate: -1.25%, NPS: -1.00
USD/NGN
1331.59
Oct 12
 1335.48 → 1339.38 ↗ 1347.21 ↗ 2.9% Rate: +23.00%, NPS: +0.50
USD/RUB
85.20
Oct 12
 85.19 → 85.19 → 85.19 → 8.6% Rate: +10.00%, NPS: -1.00
EUR/USD
0.8882
Oct 02
 0.8890 → 0.8899 → 0.8916 ↗ 4.5% Rate: -1.50%, NPS: +1.00
EUR/USD
0.8882
Oct 02
 0.8892 → 0.8903 → 0.8923 ↗ 4.5% NPS: +1.00
USD/HUF
325.89
Oct 12
 325.57 → 325.26 → 324.63 ↘ 9.9% Rate: +1.50%, NPS: -1.00
USD/PLN
3.9175
Oct 12
 3.9129 → 3.9083 → 3.8992 ↘ 8.2% Rate: -0.25%, NPS: -1.00
USD/RSD
104.82
Oct 12
 104.85 → 104.87 → 104.92 → 3.9% Rate: +1.75%
USD/CNY
6.7038
Oct 02
 6.6960 → 6.6881 → 6.6725 ↘ 1.1% Rate: -1.00%, NPS: -1.00
AUD/USD
1.4382
Oct 02
 1.4400 → 1.4418 → 1.4454 ↗ 5.7% Rate: +0.35%, NPS: +1.00
USD/INR
96.31
Oct 02
 96.22 → 96.12 → 95.93 ↘ 3.2% Rate: +1.25%, NPS: -1.00
USD/NZD
1.7849
Oct 12
 1.7826 → 1.7803 → 1.7757 ↘ 4.7% Rate: -1.25%, NPS: -1.00
USD/ZAR
16.67
Oct 02
 16.66 → 16.64 → 16.62 → 9.3% Rate: +3.25%, NPS: -1.00
USD/CHF
0.8293
Oct 02
 0.8280 → 0.8267 ↘ 0.8241 ↘ 4.5% Rate: -4.00%, NPS: -1.00
USD/TRY
49.34
Oct 12
 49.51 ↗ 49.68 ↗ 50.03 ↗ 0.9% Rate: +33.00%, NPS: +0.09
Direction: ↗ = currency appreciation vs USD, ↘ = depreciation, → = stable.
Vol 20d: Annualized volatility — low <5% | med 5-10% | high >10%.
Rate diff: CB rate minus Fed rate. Positive = carry inflows. Negative = outflows.
NPS: Net Policy Sentiment. Hawk = tightening. Dove = easing.