ivan.digital / tech.blog / tech.pulsar /
July 13, 2026 at 07:38 UTC

📈 FX Projections

Experimental — Currency direction forecasts based on interest rate differentials and central bank communication sentiment.

TOP PICK
↘ EUR/USD
Expected move: -0.23% over 2 weeks
Rate diff: 0.0%, Dovish CB stance, Meeting in 16d
Projections based on rate differentials, CB communication sentiment (NPS), and realized volatility.
Currency Spot 1 Week 2 Weeks 4 Weeks Vol 20d Drivers
EUR/USD
0.8735
Jul 02
 0.8725 → 0.8715 → 0.8694 ↘ 6.4% NPS: -1.00
USD/JPY
160.90
Jul 02
 161.03 → 161.17 → 161.44 ↗ 4.7% Rate: -2.75%, NPS: +1.00
EUR/USD
0.8735
Jul 02
 0.8744 → 0.8753 → 0.8770 ↗ 6.4% Rate: -1.50%, NPS: +1.00
GBP/USD
0.7483
Jul 02
 0.7474 → 0.7466 → 0.7449 ↘ 6.8% NPS: -1.00
USD/CAD
1.4182
Jul 02
 1.4164 → 1.4145 → 1.4109 ↘ 4.2% Rate: -1.50%, NPS: -1.00
USD/CHF
0.8022
Jul 02
 0.8010 → 0.7998 ↘ 0.7973 ↘ 7.6% Rate: -3.75%, NPS: -1.00
AUD/USD
1.4428
Jul 02
 1.4447 → 1.4466 → 1.4504 ↗ 7.7% Rate: +0.60%, NPS: +1.00
USD/KRW
1538.05
Jul 02
 1536.12 → 1534.19 → 1530.34 ↘ 13.1% Rate: -1.25%, NPS: -1.00
USD/BRL
5.2004
Jul 02
 5.2014 → 5.2024 → 5.2044 → 12.7% Rate: +10.50%, NPS: -1.00
USD/INR
95.39
Jul 02
 95.30 → 95.21 → 95.04 ↘ 6.4% Rate: +1.50%, NPS: -1.00
USD/CNY
6.7886
Jul 02
 6.7811 → 6.7736 → 6.7587 ↘ 2.3% Rate: -0.75%, NPS: -1.00
USD/ZAR
16.23
Jul 02
 16.21 → 16.20 → 16.18 → 11.5% Rate: +3.25%, NPS: -1.00
USD/MXN
17.45
Jul 02
 17.44 → 17.42 → 17.39 ↘ 9.3% Rate: +2.75%, NPS: -1.00
USD/RUB
76.81
Jul 13
 76.81 → 76.82 → 76.83 → 17.7% Rate: +10.50%, NPS: -1.00
USD/TRY
47.00
Jul 13
 47.17 ↗ 47.34 ↗ 47.67 ↗ 1.1% Rate: +33.25%, NPS: +0.09
USD/NGN
1379.02
Jul 13
 1383.14 → 1387.27 ↗ 1395.57 ↗ 3.4% Rate: +23.25%, NPS: +0.50
USD/PLN
3.8038
Jul 13
 3.7996 → 3.7954 → 3.7870 ↘ 7.4% NPS: -1.00
USD/NZD
1.7360
Jul 13
 1.7337 → 1.7315 → 1.7269 ↘ 8.2% Rate: -1.50%, NPS: -1.00
USD/HUF
313.57
Jul 13
 313.32 → 313.07 → 312.57 ↘ 12.6% Rate: +2.50%, NPS: -1.00
USD/RSD
102.99
Jul 13
 103.02 → 103.06 → 103.12 → 5.5% Rate: +2.00%
USD/ILS
3.0221
Jul 13
 3.0187 → 3.0153 → 3.0085 ↘ 8.7% NPS: -1.00
Direction: ↗ = currency appreciation vs USD, ↘ = depreciation, → = stable.
Vol 20d: Annualized volatility — low <5% | med 5-10% | high >10%.
Rate diff: CB rate minus Fed rate. Positive = carry inflows. Negative = outflows.
NPS: Net Policy Sentiment. Hawk = tightening. Dove = easing.