ivan.digital / tech.blog / tech.pulsar /
May 28, 2026 at 07:34 UTC

📈 FX Projections

Experimental — Currency direction forecasts based on interest rate differentials and central bank communication sentiment.

TOP PICK
↗ USD/MXN
Expected move: -0.17% over 2 weeks
High yield (+3.0% vs USD), Dovish sentiment, Meeting in 19d
Projections based on rate differentials, CB communication sentiment (NPS), and realized volatility.
Currency Spot 1 Week 2 Weeks 4 Weeks Vol 20d Drivers
EUR/USD
0.8618
May 22
 0.8608 → 0.8598 → 0.8578 ↘ 4.1% NPS: -1.00
USD/JPY
159.20
May 22
 159.33 → 159.46 → 159.71 ↗ 9.1% Rate: -3.00%, NPS: +1.00
EUR/USD
0.8618
May 22
 0.8627 → 0.8635 → 0.8652 ↗ 4.1% Rate: -1.75%, NPS: +1.00
GBP/USD
0.7441
May 22
 0.7432 → 0.7424 → 0.7407 ↘ 7.1% NPS: -1.00
USD/CAD
1.3817
May 22
 1.3799 → 1.3781 → 1.3745 ↘ 3.7% Rate: -1.50%, NPS: -1.00
USD/CHF
0.7857
May 22
 0.7845 → 0.7833 ↘ 0.7809 ↘ 6.2% Rate: -3.75%, NPS: -1.00
AUD/USD
1.4021
May 22
 1.4039 → 1.4057 → 1.4093 ↗ 8.6% Rate: +0.35%, NPS: +1.00
USD/KRW
1517.33
May 22
 1515.39 → 1513.46 → 1509.59 ↘ 11.8% Rate: -1.25%, NPS: -1.00
USD/BRL
5.0240
May 22
 5.0251 → 5.0261 → 5.0282 → 12.0% Rate: +10.75%, NPS: -1.00
USD/INR
95.69
May 22
 95.60 → 95.51 → 95.33 ↘ 6.0% Rate: +1.50%, NPS: -1.00
USD/CNY
6.7945
May 22
 6.7869 → 6.7793 → 6.7641 ↘ 2.3% Rate: -0.75%, NPS: -1.00
USD/ZAR
16.45
May 22
 16.43 → 16.42 → 16.40 → 13.3% Rate: +3.00%, NPS: -1.00
USD/MXN
17.32
May 22
 17.31 → 17.30 → 17.27 ↘ 7.3% Rate: +3.00%, NPS: -1.00
USD/RUB
70.94
May 28
 70.95 → 70.95 → 70.97 → 9.2% Rate: +10.75%, NPS: -1.00
USD/TRY
45.90
May 28
 46.06 ↗ 46.23 ↗ 46.55 ↗ 1.5% Rate: +33.25%, NPS: +0.09
USD/NGN
1373.67
May 28
 1377.21 → 1380.76 ↗ 1387.89 ↗ 3.9% Rate: +23.25%, NPS: +0.50
USD/PLN
3.6571
May 28
 3.6530 → 3.6489 → 3.6408 ↘ 6.2% NPS: -1.00
USD/NZD
1.7034
May 28
 1.7012 → 1.6989 → 1.6945 ↘ 8.5% Rate: -1.50%, NPS: -1.00
USD/HUF
307.04
May 28
 306.79 → 306.54 → 306.04 ↘ 11.3% Rate: +2.50%, NPS: -1.00
USD/RSD
101.31
May 28
 101.34 → 101.37 → 101.43 → 4.9% Rate: +2.00%
USD/ILS
2.8332
May 28
 2.8300 → 2.8268 → 2.8205 ↘ 8.7% Rate: +0.25%, NPS: -1.00
Direction: ↗ = currency appreciation vs USD, ↘ = depreciation, → = stable.
Vol 20d: Annualized volatility — low <5% | med 5-10% | high >10%.
Rate diff: CB rate minus Fed rate. Positive = carry inflows. Negative = outflows.
NPS: Net Policy Sentiment. Hawk = tightening. Dove = easing.